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Sunday 18 February 2018, 19:00 Borussia-Park Full time
31% 24% 45%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
45.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach 30.7% 3.25
Draw 23.8% 4.21
Borussia Dortmund 45.5% 2.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.87
Over 1.5 85.0% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.0% 6.68
Over 2.5 64.5% 1.55
Under 2.5 35.5% 2.82
Over 3.5 42.5% 2.35
Under 3.5 57.5% 1.74
Over 4.5 24.2% 4.13
Under 4.5 75.8% 1.32

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 65.7% 1.52
No 34.3% 2.91

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Draw 54.5% 1.83
Borussia Mönchengladbach / Borussia Dortmund 76.2% 1.31
Draw / Borussia Dortmund 69.3% 1.44

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
6.0
6.1
3.7
1.7
0.6
1
4.8
10.4
9.0
5.5
2.5
0.9
2
4.0
7.3
6.7
4.1
1.9
0.7
3
2.0
3.6
3.3
2.0
0.9
0.3
4
0.7
1.3
1.2
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Columns: Borussia Dortmund goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.