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Sunday 25 February 2018, 19:00 Red Bull Arena Full time
64% 21% 15%
Home win
63.7%
Draw
20.9%
Away win
15.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig 63.7% 1.57
Draw 20.9% 4.79
1. FC Köln 15.4% 6.48

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.85
Over 1.5 82.2% 1.22
Under 1.5 17.8% 5.60
Over 2.5 60.0% 1.67
Under 2.5 40.0% 2.50
Over 3.5 37.6% 2.66
Under 3.5 62.4% 1.60
Over 4.5 20.3% 4.93
Under 4.5 79.7% 1.25

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 55.2% 1.81
No 44.8% 2.23

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
RB Leipzig / Draw 84.6% 1.18
RB Leipzig / 1. FC Köln 79.1% 1.26
Draw / 1. FC Köln 36.3% 2.75

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
3.8
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
9.0
9.8
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
10.3
9.9
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
7.3
7.1
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
4
3.9
3.8
1.8
0.6
0.1
0.0
5
1.7
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: RB Leipzig goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.