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Monday 26 February 2018, 21:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
66% 19% 14%
Home win
66.1%
Draw
19.5%
Away win
14.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 66.1% 1.51
Draw 19.5% 5.13
FC Augsburg 14.4% 6.96

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.8% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.2% 23.69
Over 1.5 84.6% 1.18
Under 1.5 15.4% 6.48
Over 2.5 63.9% 1.56
Under 2.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 3.5 41.8% 2.39
Under 3.5 58.2% 1.72
Over 4.5 23.6% 4.23
Under 4.5 76.4% 1.31

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.2% 1.75
No 42.8% 2.34

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 85.6% 1.17
Borussia Dortmund / FC Augsburg 80.5% 1.24
Draw / FC Augsburg 33.9% 2.95

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.2
3.2
1.8
0.6
0.2
0.0
1
8.0
9.0
4.2
1.4
0.3
0.1
2
9.8
9.8
4.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
3
7.5
7.5
3.7
1.2
0.3
0.1
4
4.3
4.3
2.1
0.7
0.2
0.0
5
2.0
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: FC Augsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.