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Sunday 4 March 2018, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
42% 31% 26%
Home win
42.1%
Draw
31.5%
Away win
26.4%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 42.1% 2.38
Draw 31.5% 3.18
VfB Stuttgart 26.4% 3.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.35
Over 1.5 61.7% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.3% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.8% 2.96
Under 2.5 66.2% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.3% 6.54
Under 3.5 84.7% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.30
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.2% 2.43
No 58.8% 1.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 73.6% 1.36
1. FC Köln / VfB Stuttgart 68.5% 1.46
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 57.9% 1.73

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
10.4
4.9
1.4
0.3
0.1
1
14.3
14.0
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
8.9
7.8
3.4
1.0
0.2
0.0
3
3.5
3.1
1.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.0
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.