Skip to content
Friday 16 March 2018, 21:30 Schwarzwald-Stadion Full time
37% 31% 31%
Home win
37.2%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
31.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg 37.2% 2.69
Draw 31.3% 3.19
VfB Stuttgart 31.5% 3.18

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.2% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.8% 7.82
Over 1.5 63.4% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.6% 2.73
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.04
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.56
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.30
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
SC Freiburg / Draw 68.5% 1.46
SC Freiburg / VfB Stuttgart 68.7% 1.46
Draw / VfB Stuttgart 62.8% 1.59

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.8
11.2
6.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
1
12.6
14.3
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
7.5
7.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
2.8
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
0.8
0.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: SC Freiburg goals. Columns: VfB Stuttgart goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.