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Saturday 10 March 2018, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
53% 26% 21%
Home win
53.2%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
20.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 53.2% 1.88
Draw 26.1% 3.83
SC Freiburg 20.6% 4.84

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.5% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.5% 11.81
Over 1.5 73.1% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.9% 3.72
Over 2.5 47.0% 2.13
Under 2.5 53.0% 1.89
Over 3.5 25.4% 3.93
Under 3.5 74.6% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.6% 8.59
Under 4.5 88.4% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.2% 2.03
No 50.8% 1.97

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 79.4% 1.26
Hertha Berlin / SC Freiburg 73.9% 1.35
Draw / SC Freiburg 46.8% 2.14

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.5
6.5
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
12.0
12.4
5.4
1.7
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.5
4.4
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.6
5.2
2.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
2.3
2.1
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: SC Freiburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.