Friday 16 February 2018, 21:30
Olympiastadion
Full time
54%
25%
21%
Home win
54.5%
Draw
24.6%
Away win
20.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha Berlin | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 20.9% | 4.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.91 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.3% | 6.53 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| No | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hertha Berlin / Draw | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Hertha Berlin / FSV Mainz 05 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
5.5
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
11.7
|
5.7
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.8
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.7
|
5.8
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.5
|
2.6
|
1.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.9
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2023
Hertha Berlin
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Sep 2022
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
May 2022
Hertha Berlin
1-2
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2021
FSV Mainz 05
4-0
Hertha Berlin
May 2021
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
Hertha Berlin
Dec 2020
Hertha Berlin
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.