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Saturday 10 December 2016, 16:30 Allianz Arena Full time
74% 18% 8%
Home win
73.6%
Draw
18.5%
Away win
8.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 73.6% 1.36
Draw 18.5% 5.42
VfL Wolfsburg 8.0% 12.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.13
Over 1.5 76.0% 1.32
Under 1.5 24.0% 4.16
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.14
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.8% 2.58
No 61.2% 1.63

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 92.0% 1.09
Bayern München / VfL Wolfsburg 81.5% 1.23
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 26.4% 3.78

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
13.7
8.6
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
2
15.2
8.7
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
10.9
6.2
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
5.9
3.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
2.5
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.