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Friday 23 February 2018, 21:30 Opel Arena Full time
45% 28% 28%
Home win
44.6%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
27.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 44.6% 2.24
Draw 27.6% 3.63
VfL Wolfsburg 27.9% 3.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.91
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.4% 2.11
Under 2.5 52.6% 1.90
Over 3.5 25.7% 3.88
Under 3.5 74.3% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.8% 8.45
Under 4.5 88.2% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.2% 1.92
No 47.8% 2.09

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 72.1% 1.39
FSV Mainz 05 / VfL Wolfsburg 72.4% 1.38
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 55.4% 1.80

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
7.7
4.7
1.7
0.5
0.1
1
10.5
13.1
6.9
2.5
0.7
0.2
2
8.2
9.1
5.0
1.9
0.5
0.1
3
4.0
4.4
2.4
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
1.5
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.