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Saturday 31 March 2018, 16:30 WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena Full time
65% 20% 16%
Home win
64.5%
Draw
19.8%
Away win
15.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim 64.5% 1.55
Draw 19.8% 5.04
1. FC Köln 15.7% 6.39

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.0% 1.04
Under 0.5 4.0% 24.84
Over 1.5 85.2% 1.17
Under 1.5 14.8% 6.77
Over 2.5 65.0% 1.54
Under 2.5 35.0% 2.86
Over 3.5 43.0% 2.32
Under 3.5 57.0% 1.76
Over 4.5 24.6% 4.06
Under 4.5 75.4% 1.33

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.2% 1.69
No 40.8% 2.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1899 Hoffenheim / Draw 84.3% 1.19
1899 Hoffenheim / 1. FC Köln 80.2% 1.25
Draw / 1. FC Köln 35.5% 2.82

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.0
3.2
2.0
0.7
0.2
0.0
1
7.5
9.0
4.5
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
9.8
5.2
1.8
0.5
0.1
3
7.0
7.4
3.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
4.0
4.3
2.3
0.8
0.2
0.0
5
1.8
2.0
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1899 Hoffenheim goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.