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Monday 12 March 2018, 21:30 Weser-Stadion Full time
52% 24% 24%
Home win
51.8%
Draw
24.3%
Away win
23.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen 51.8% 1.93
Draw 24.3% 4.11
1. FC Köln 23.8% 4.20

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.43
Over 1.5 80.4% 1.24
Under 1.5 19.6% 5.10
Over 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Over 3.5 34.8% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.2% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.53
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.2% 1.72
No 41.8% 2.39

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Werder Bremen / Draw 76.2% 1.31
Werder Bremen / 1. FC Köln 75.7% 1.32
Draw / 1. FC Köln 48.2% 2.08

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
5.3
3.5
1.3
0.4
0.1
1
8.6
11.4
6.3
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.4
9.7
5.7
2.2
0.6
0.2
3
5.0
5.9
3.4
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
2.3
2.7
1.6
0.6
0.2
0.0
5
0.8
1.0
0.6
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Werder Bremen goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.