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Sunday 18 March 2018, 16:30 RheinEnergieStadion Full time
34% 25% 41%
Home win
33.6%
Draw
24.9%
Away win
41.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln 33.6% 2.98
Draw 24.9% 4.01
Bayer Leverkusen 41.5% 2.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.0% 1.05
Under 0.5 5.0% 19.89
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.73
Over 2.5 60.5% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.5% 2.53
Over 3.5 38.1% 2.62
Under 3.5 61.9% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.6% 4.84
Under 4.5 79.4% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 63.0% 1.59
No 37.0% 2.70

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
1. FC Köln / Draw 58.5% 1.71
1. FC Köln / Bayer Leverkusen 75.1% 1.33
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 66.4% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.0
6.6
6.0
3.3
1.4
0.5
1
5.8
11.3
8.8
4.9
2.0
0.7
2
4.8
7.9
6.5
3.6
1.5
0.5
3
2.3
3.9
3.2
1.8
0.7
0.2
4
0.9
1.4
1.2
0.6
0.3
0.1
5
0.3
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: 1. FC Köln goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.