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Saturday 10 March 2018, 19:30 BayArena Full time
55% 23% 22%
Home win
54.7%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
22.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 54.7% 1.83
Draw 22.8% 4.38
Borussia Mönchengladbach 22.5% 4.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.4% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.6% 21.65
Over 1.5 83.6% 1.20
Under 1.5 16.4% 6.10
Over 2.5 62.2% 1.61
Under 2.5 37.8% 2.65
Over 3.5 40.0% 2.50
Under 3.5 60.0% 1.67
Over 4.5 22.1% 4.52
Under 4.5 77.9% 1.28

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 61.4% 1.63
No 38.6% 2.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 77.5% 1.29
Bayer Leverkusen / Borussia Mönchengladbach 77.2% 1.30
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 45.3% 2.21

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.6
4.3
3.0
1.2
0.4
0.1
1
7.4
10.4
6.0
2.4
0.7
0.2
2
8.0
9.8
5.9
2.4
0.7
0.2
3
5.3
6.5
3.9
1.6
0.5
0.1
4
2.6
3.2
2.0
0.8
0.2
0.1
5
1.1
1.3
0.8
0.3
0.1
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.