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Saturday 3 March 2018, 16:30 Volkswagen Arena Full time
35% 27% 38%
Home win
34.6%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg 34.6% 2.89
Draw 26.9% 3.72
Bayer Leverkusen 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.9% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.1% 14.18
Over 1.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Under 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Over 3.5 29.9% 3.34
Under 3.5 70.1% 1.43
Over 4.5 14.6% 6.84
Under 4.5 85.4% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.7% 1.76
No 43.3% 2.31

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
VfL Wolfsburg / Draw 61.5% 1.62
VfL Wolfsburg / Bayer Leverkusen 73.1% 1.37
Draw / Bayer Leverkusen 65.4% 1.53

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.1
8.3
6.4
3.0
1.1
0.3
1
7.7
12.8
8.6
4.1
1.4
0.4
2
5.7
8.1
5.7
2.7
1.0
0.3
3
2.5
3.6
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
0.8
1.2
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Columns: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.