Monday 16 April 2018, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
48%
27%
25%
Home win
47.9%
Draw
26.9%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| SC Freiburg | 25.2% | 3.97 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 25.9% | 3.86 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.4% | 8.09 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.6% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| No | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / SC Freiburg | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / SC Freiburg | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
7.1
|
4.1
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
12.8
|
6.4
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.4
|
5.0
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.6
|
4.8
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
1.9
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
Nov 2025
SC Freiburg
4-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2025
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
SC Freiburg
Nov 2024
SC Freiburg
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2024
SC Freiburg
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Dec 2023
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
SC Freiburg
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.