Saturday 7 April 2018, 16:30
RheinEnergieStadion
Full time
47%
26%
27%
Home win
47.4%
Draw
25.9%
Away win
26.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.9% | 3.87 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 | 26.8% | 3.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.92 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.1% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.48 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| No | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln / Draw | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln / FSV Mainz 05 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / FSV Mainz 05 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
6.4
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.1
|
12.3
|
6.8
|
2.7
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
8.0
|
9.5
|
5.6
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
5.2
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.8
|
2.1
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
1. FC Köln
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
Aug 2025
FSV Mainz 05
0-1
1. FC Köln
Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
1-1
1. FC Köln
Dec 2023
1. FC Köln
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Apr 2023
1. FC Köln
1-1
FSV Mainz 05
Oct 2022
FSV Mainz 05
5-0
1. FC Köln
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.