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Saturday 17 March 2018, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
52% 26% 22%
Home win
51.6%
Draw
26.5%
Away win
22.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 51.6% 1.94
Draw 26.5% 3.78
FSV Mainz 05 22.0% 4.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.6% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.4% 11.84
Over 1.5 73.2% 1.37
Under 1.5 26.8% 3.73
Over 2.5 47.1% 2.12
Under 2.5 52.9% 1.89
Over 3.5 25.5% 3.92
Under 3.5 74.5% 1.34
Over 4.5 11.7% 8.56
Under 4.5 88.3% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.0% 2.00
No 50.0% 2.00

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 78.0% 1.28
Eintracht Frankfurt / FSV Mainz 05 73.5% 1.36
Draw / FSV Mainz 05 48.4% 2.07

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.4
6.7
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
11.7
12.6
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
9.9
9.5
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
5.3
5.1
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.