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Sunday 11 March 2018, 19:00 Signal Iduna Park Full time
60% 23% 17%
Home win
60.1%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 60.1% 1.66
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Eintracht Frankfurt 17.3% 5.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.1% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.9% 16.82
Over 1.5 79.6% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.4% 4.91
Over 2.5 56.1% 1.78
Under 2.5 43.9% 2.28
Over 3.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 3.5 66.3% 1.51
Over 4.5 17.3% 5.78
Under 4.5 82.7% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.8% 1.86
No 46.2% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 82.7% 1.21
Borussia Dortmund / Eintracht Frankfurt 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Eintracht Frankfurt 39.9% 2.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.9
4.5
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
9.9
10.7
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.9
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.8
6.5
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.3
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.3
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.