Friday 9 March 2018, 21:30
Opel Arena
Full time
31%
27%
42%
Home win
30.7%
Draw
27.2%
Away win
42.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 | 30.7% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.2% | 3.68 | — | — |
| FC Schalke 04 | 42.1% | 2.38 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.6% | 13.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 24.6% | 4.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 13.4% | 7.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.6% | 1.15 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.2% | 2.21 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FSV Mainz 05 / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| FSV Mainz 05 / FC Schalke 04 | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Schalke 04 | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.6
|
9.3
|
7.3
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
7.6
|
13.0
|
8.9
|
4.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.4
|
5.4
|
2.6
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
3.0
|
2.2
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.9
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2023
FSV Mainz 05
2-3
FC Schalke 04
Nov 2022
FC Schalke 04
1-0
FSV Mainz 05
Mar 2021
FC Schalke 04
0-0
FSV Mainz 05
Nov 2020
FSV Mainz 05
2-2
FC Schalke 04
Feb 2020
FSV Mainz 05
0-0
FC Schalke 04
Sep 2019
FC Schalke 04
2-1
FSV Mainz 05
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.