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Sunday 1 April 2018, 19:00 Opel Arena Full time
40% 27% 34%
Home win
39.8%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
33.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 39.8% 2.51
Draw 26.6% 3.76
Borussia Mönchengladbach 33.6% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.3% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.7% 14.83
Over 1.5 77.7% 1.29
Under 1.5 22.3% 4.49
Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88
Under 2.5 46.8% 2.14
Over 3.5 31.0% 3.23
Under 3.5 69.0% 1.45
Over 4.5 15.4% 6.51
Under 4.5 84.6% 1.18

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 57.5% 1.74
No 42.5% 2.35

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FSV Mainz 05 / Draw 66.4% 1.51
FSV Mainz 05 / Borussia Mönchengladbach 73.4% 1.36
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 60.2% 1.66

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.7
7.3
5.4
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
8.2
12.6
7.9
3.5
1.2
0.3
2
6.5
8.7
5.8
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
3.2
4.3
2.9
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
1.2
1.6
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.3
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: FSV Mainz 05 goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.