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Sunday 15 October 2017, 16:30 BayArena Full time
60% 23% 17%
Home win
60.0%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
17.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen 60.0% 1.67
Draw 22.7% 4.41
VfL Wolfsburg 17.3% 5.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.0% 1.06
Under 0.5 6.0% 16.64
Over 1.5 79.4% 1.26
Under 1.5 20.6% 4.87
Over 2.5 55.8% 1.79
Under 2.5 44.2% 2.26
Over 3.5 33.5% 2.99
Under 3.5 66.5% 1.50
Over 4.5 17.1% 5.84
Under 4.5 82.9% 1.21

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.4% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayer Leverkusen / Draw 82.7% 1.21
Bayer Leverkusen / VfL Wolfsburg 77.3% 1.29
Draw / VfL Wolfsburg 40.0% 2.50

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.0
4.6
2.5
0.8
0.2
0.0
1
10.0
10.8
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.9
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.8
6.5
3.1
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.3
3.2
1.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayer Leverkusen goals. Columns: VfL Wolfsburg goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.