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Saturday 21 April 2018, 16:30 Commerzbank-Arena Full time
44% 30% 27%
Home win
43.6%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
26.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt 43.6% 2.29
Draw 29.8% 3.35
Hertha Berlin 26.5% 3.77

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.73
Over 1.5 66.2% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.8% 2.96
Over 2.5 38.7% 2.58
Under 2.5 61.3% 1.63
Over 3.5 18.8% 5.32
Under 3.5 81.2% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 13.05
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Eintracht Frankfurt / Draw 73.5% 1.36
Eintracht Frankfurt / Hertha Berlin 70.2% 1.43
Draw / Hertha Berlin 56.4% 1.77

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
9.3
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
1
13.0
13.8
6.2
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.9
8.4
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.8
3.6
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Eintracht Frankfurt goals. Columns: Hertha Berlin goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.