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Saturday 14 April 2018, 16:30 Olympiastadion Full time
52% 27% 22%
Home win
51.5%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
21.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin 51.5% 1.94
Draw 26.6% 3.76
1. FC Köln 21.9% 4.57

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.4% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.6% 11.60
Over 1.5 72.8% 1.37
Under 1.5 27.2% 3.67
Over 2.5 46.6% 2.15
Under 2.5 53.4% 1.87
Over 3.5 25.1% 3.99
Under 3.5 74.9% 1.33
Over 4.5 11.4% 8.78
Under 4.5 88.6% 1.13

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 49.5% 2.02
No 50.5% 1.98

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hertha Berlin / Draw 78.1% 1.28
Hertha Berlin / 1. FC Köln 73.4% 1.36
Draw / 1. FC Köln 48.5% 2.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.6
6.8
3.6
1.1
0.3
0.1
1
11.8
12.6
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
2
10.0
9.5
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
3
5.3
5.0
2.4
0.8
0.2
0.0
4
2.1
2.0
0.9
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hertha Berlin goals. Columns: 1. FC Köln goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.