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Saturday 11 February 2017, 16:30 Audi Sportpark Full time
13% 23% 65%
Home win
12.8%
Draw
22.7%
Away win
64.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 12.8% 7.84
Draw 22.7% 4.41
Bayern München 64.6% 1.55

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.19
Over 1.5 73.4% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.6% 3.76
Over 2.5 47.6% 2.10
Under 2.5 52.4% 1.91
Over 3.5 25.9% 3.86
Under 3.5 74.1% 1.35
Over 4.5 11.9% 8.38
Under 4.5 88.1% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 43.4% 2.30
No 56.6% 1.77

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Draw 35.4% 2.82
FC Ingolstadt 04 / Bayern München 77.3% 1.29
Draw / Bayern München 87.2% 1.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
13.6
13.3
8.3
3.9
1.5
1
4.8
10.6
9.4
5.9
2.7
1.0
2
1.9
3.5
3.3
2.1
1.0
0.4
3
0.4
0.8
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: FC Ingolstadt 04 goals. Columns: Bayern München goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.