Saturday 15 October 2016, 16:30
RheinEnergieStadion
Full time
83%
13%
4%
Home win
83.0%
Draw
12.8%
Away win
4.2%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.8% | 7.82 | — | — |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 4.2% | 23.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.9% | 20.41 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.3% | 5.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.4% | 2.48 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.2% | 2.69 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.9% | 2.86 | — | — |
| No | 65.1% | 1.54 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Köln / Draw | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| 1. FC Köln / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / FC Ingolstadt 04 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
11.6
|
5.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.7
|
7.3
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
13.7
|
6.4
|
1.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
9.0
|
4.2
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.