Skip to content
Saturday 12 May 2018, 16:30 Volksparkstadion Full time
31% 29% 41%
Home win
30.9%
Draw
28.6%
Away win
40.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV 30.9% 3.24
Draw 28.6% 3.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach 40.5% 2.47

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.7% 1.10
Under 0.5 9.3% 10.78
Over 1.5 71.3% 1.40
Under 1.5 28.7% 3.48
Over 2.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 2.5 55.3% 1.81
Over 3.5 23.5% 4.26
Under 3.5 76.5% 1.31
Over 4.5 10.4% 9.61
Under 4.5 89.6% 1.12

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 50.6% 1.97
No 49.4% 2.03

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Hamburger SV / Draw 59.5% 1.68
Hamburger SV / Borussia Mönchengladbach 71.4% 1.40
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 69.1% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.3
10.6
7.6
3.4
1.1
0.3
1
8.9
13.6
8.6
3.8
1.3
0.3
2
5.4
7.3
4.8
2.1
0.7
0.2
3
2.1
2.7
1.8
0.8
0.3
0.1
4
0.6
0.8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Hamburger SV goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.