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Saturday 14 April 2018, 19:30 Allianz Arena Full time
84% 11% 5%
Home win
83.7%
Draw
11.5%
Away win
4.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München 83.7% 1.20
Draw 11.5% 8.72
Borussia Mönchengladbach 4.9% 20.50

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.0% 1.03
Under 0.5 3.0% 33.26
Over 1.5 87.9% 1.14
Under 1.5 12.1% 8.23
Over 2.5 69.9% 1.43
Under 2.5 30.1% 3.33
Over 3.5 48.7% 2.05
Under 3.5 51.3% 1.95
Over 4.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 4.5 70.4% 1.42

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.1% 2.22
No 54.9% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bayern München / Draw 95.1% 1.05
Bayern München / Borussia Mönchengladbach 88.5% 1.13
Draw / Borussia Mönchengladbach 16.3% 6.12

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.0
1.4
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
7.7
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
2
11.9
7.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
11.8
7.6
2.4
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
8.8
5.6
1.8
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
5.2
3.3
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bayern München goals. Columns: Borussia Mönchengladbach goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.