Saturday 31 March 2018, 19:30
Allianz Arena
Full time
70%
18%
12%
Home win
70.5%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
12.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München | 70.5% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.71 | — | — |
| Borussia Dortmund | 12.0% | 8.34 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.6% | 27.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 86.4% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.6% | 7.37 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 32.8% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 26.7% | 3.75 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| No | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bayern München / Draw | 88.0% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Bayern München / Borussia Dortmund | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Borussia Dortmund | 29.5% | 3.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.6
|
2.6
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.4
|
8.0
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.8
|
9.4
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.2
|
7.9
|
3.8
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.1
|
4.9
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.5
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Borussia Dortmund
2-3
Bayern München
Oct 2025
Bayern München
2-1
Borussia Dortmund
Apr 2025
Bayern München
2-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2024
Borussia Dortmund
1-1
Bayern München
Mar 2024
Bayern München
0-2
Borussia Dortmund
Nov 2023
Borussia Dortmund
0-4
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.