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Sunday 18 March 2018, 14:30 Signal Iduna Park Full time
68% 18% 14%
Home win
68.1%
Draw
18.3%
Away win
13.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund 68.1% 1.47
Draw 18.3% 5.47
Hannover 96 13.7% 7.32

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 96.5% 1.04
Under 0.5 3.5% 28.48
Over 1.5 86.8% 1.15
Under 1.5 13.2% 7.57
Over 2.5 67.8% 1.48
Under 2.5 32.2% 3.10
Over 3.5 46.1% 2.17
Under 3.5 53.9% 1.86
Over 4.5 27.3% 3.66
Under 4.5 72.7% 1.38

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 59.4% 1.68
No 40.6% 2.46

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Borussia Dortmund / Draw 86.3% 1.16
Borussia Dortmund / Hannover 96 81.7% 1.22
Draw / Hannover 96 31.9% 3.13

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
3.5
2.7
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
1
7.0
8.2
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
2
9.2
9.5
4.9
1.7
0.4
0.1
3
7.5
7.8
4.0
1.4
0.4
0.1
4
4.6
4.8
2.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
5
2.3
2.3
1.2
0.4
0.1
0.0
Rows: Borussia Dortmund goals. Columns: Hannover 96 goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.