Sunday 18 March 2018, 19:00
Red Bull Arena
Full time
19%
23%
58%
Home win
19.2%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
57.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig | 19.2% | 5.21 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.2% | 4.32 | — | — |
| Bayern München | 57.6% | 1.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.8% | 17.12 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.0% | 5.00 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.2% | 2.92 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.7% | 5.65 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.3% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| No | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig / Draw | 42.4% | 2.36 | — | — |
| RB Leipzig / Bayern München | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Draw / Bayern München | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.8
|
9.4
|
9.7
|
6.2
|
3.0
|
1.1
|
| 1 |
4.7
|
11.0
|
9.9
|
6.4
|
3.1
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
5.3
|
5.1
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.8
|
1.8
|
1.1
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
RB Leipzig
1-5
Bayern München
Aug 2025
Bayern München
6-0
RB Leipzig
May 2025
RB Leipzig
3-3
Bayern München
Dec 2024
Bayern München
5-1
RB Leipzig
Feb 2024
Bayern München
2-1
RB Leipzig
Sep 2023
RB Leipzig
2-2
Bayern München
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.