Saturday 20 October 2018, 19:30
Estadio de la Cerámica
Full time
25%
33%
42%
Home win
24.7%
Draw
33.1%
Away win
42.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal | 24.7% | 4.04 | — | — |
| Draw | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid | 42.1% | 2.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 16.3% | 6.15 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 28.7% | 3.48 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 11.9% | 8.37 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.1% | 24.20 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.9% | 1.04 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| No | 63.5% | 1.58 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal / Draw | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Villarreal / Atletico Madrid | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Draw / Atletico Madrid | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
16.3
|
16.2
|
9.3
|
3.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
11.1
|
13.8
|
7.2
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
4.6
|
5.0
|
2.8
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
1.2
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Villarreal
5-1
Atletico Madrid
Sep 2025
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Villarreal
Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1-1
Villarreal
Aug 2024
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico Madrid
Apr 2024
Villarreal
1-2
Atletico Madrid
Nov 2023
Atletico Madrid
3-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.