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Saturday 22 September 2018, 19:30 Coliseum Alfonso Pérez Full time
28% 38% 34%
Home win
27.5%
Draw
38.2%
Away win
34.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe 27.5% 3.63
Draw 38.2% 2.62
Atletico Madrid 34.3% 2.91

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 76.9% 1.30
Under 0.5 23.1% 4.33
Over 1.5 44.9% 2.23
Under 1.5 55.1% 1.82
Over 2.5 19.1% 5.24
Under 2.5 80.9% 1.24
Over 3.5 6.5% 15.28
Under 3.5 93.5% 1.07
Over 4.5 1.8% 54.05
Under 4.5 98.2% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 28.4% 3.52
No 71.6% 1.40

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Getafe / Draw 65.7% 1.52
Getafe / Atletico Madrid 61.8% 1.62
Draw / Atletico Madrid 72.5% 1.38

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
23.1
17.3
7.3
2.0
0.4
0.1
1
14.7
13.2
5.0
1.4
0.3
0.0
2
5.3
4.3
1.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
1.2
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Getafe goals. Columns: Atletico Madrid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.