Tuesday 25 September 2018, 23:00
Estadio Wanda Metropolitano
Full time
77%
16%
6%
Home win
77.5%
Draw
16.2%
Away win
6.4%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw | 16.2% | 6.19 | — | — |
| Huesca | 6.4% | 15.70 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.9% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.1% | 16.37 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.4% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.6% | 4.64 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.3% | 3.09 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.7% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.3% | 6.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
| No | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid / Draw | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Atletico Madrid / Huesca | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Draw / Huesca | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.1
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
7.5
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.5
|
8.3
|
2.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.0
|
6.4
|
1.7
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
3.8
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.3
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2021
Atletico Madrid
2-0
Huesca
Sep 2020
Huesca
0-0
Atletico Madrid
Jan 2019
Huesca
0-3
Atletico Madrid
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.