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Sunday 7 October 2018, 17:15 Estadio Wanda Metropolitano Full time
67% 23% 10%
Home win
67.1%
Draw
22.6%
Away win
10.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid 67.1% 1.49
Draw 22.6% 4.43
Real Betis 10.3% 9.68

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 90.3% 1.11
Under 0.5 9.7% 10.28
Over 1.5 69.5% 1.44
Under 1.5 30.5% 3.28
Over 2.5 42.8% 2.34
Under 2.5 57.2% 1.75
Over 3.5 21.9% 4.56
Under 3.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 4.5 9.5% 10.56
Under 4.5 90.5% 1.10

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 36.9% 2.71
No 63.1% 1.59

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Atletico Madrid / Draw 89.7% 1.12
Atletico Madrid / Real Betis 77.4% 1.29
Draw / Real Betis 32.9% 3.04

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
9.7
4.6
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
1
16.1
10.1
2.7
0.5
0.1
0.0
2
15.2
8.6
2.5
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
9.2
5.2
1.5
0.3
0.0
0.0
4
4.2
2.4
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.5
0.9
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Atletico Madrid goals. Columns: Real Betis goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.