Sunday 7 October 2018, 19:30
RCDE Stadium
Full time
34%
33%
33%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
32.5%
Away win
33.5%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.5% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Villarreal | 33.5% | 2.99 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 14.4% | 6.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.1% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.9% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 32.2% | 3.11 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 67.8% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.2% | 7.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.2% | 19.19 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.8% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 40.6% | 2.46 | — | — |
| No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Espanyol / Draw | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Espanyol / Villarreal | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Villarreal | 66.0% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
14.4
|
12.7
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.3
|
6.7
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
6.8
|
6.8
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.3
|
2.3
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Villarreal
4-1
Espanyol
Nov 2025
Espanyol
0-2
Villarreal
Apr 2025
Villarreal
1-0
Espanyol
Sep 2024
Espanyol
1-2
Villarreal
Apr 2023
Villarreal
4-2
Espanyol
Nov 2022
Espanyol
0-1
Villarreal
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.