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Sunday 30 September 2018, 17:15 Estadio de la Cerámica Full time
Villarreal
0–1
HT 0–0
Valladolid
49% 30% 21%
Home win
49.5%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
20.6%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal 49.5% 2.02 — —
Draw 29.9% 3.34 — —
Valladolid 20.6% 4.85 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.9% 1.15 — —
Under 0.5 13.1% 7.61 — —
Over 1.5 62.5% 1.60 — —
Under 1.5 37.5% 2.67 — —
Over 2.5 34.7% 2.88 — —
Under 2.5 65.3% 1.53 — —
Over 3.5 15.9% 6.28 — —
Under 3.5 84.1% 1.19 — —
Over 4.5 6.1% 16.39 — —
Under 4.5 93.9% 1.06 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 39.9% 2.51 — —
No 60.1% 1.66 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Villarreal / Draw 79.4% 1.26 — —
Villarreal / Valladolid 70.1% 1.43 — —
Draw / Valladolid 50.5% 1.98 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.1
8.7
3.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
15.7
13.3
4.7
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.9
8.3
3.2
0.8
0.2
0.0
3
4.8
3.7
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.2
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Villarreal goals. Columns: Valladolid goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Villarreal
D L W D W
Valladolid
L D L D W

Head to head

Feb 2025 Villarreal 5-1 Valladolid Oct 2024 Valladolid 1-2 Villarreal Apr 2023 Villarreal 1-2 Valladolid Aug 2022 Valladolid 0-3 Villarreal May 2021 Valladolid 0-2 Villarreal Nov 2020 Villarreal 2-0 Valladolid

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.