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Thursday 27 September 2018, 21:00 José Zorrilla Full time
2–1
HT 0–0
43% 30% 27%
Home win
43.2%
Draw
29.9%
Away win
27.0%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valladolid 43.2% 2.32
Draw 29.9% 3.35
Levante 27.0% 3.71

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.6% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.4% 8.78
Over 1.5 66.4% 1.51
Under 1.5 33.6% 2.97
Over 2.5 38.9% 2.57
Under 2.5 61.1% 1.64
Over 3.5 18.9% 5.28
Under 3.5 81.1% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.7% 12.93
Under 4.5 92.3% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Valladolid / Draw 73.1% 1.37
Valladolid / Levante 70.1% 1.43
Draw / Levante 56.8% 1.76

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.4
9.4
4.9
1.6
0.4
0.1
1
12.8
13.8
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
2
8.8
8.4
4.0
1.3
0.3
0.1
3
3.8
3.6
1.7
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
1.2
1.2
0.6
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Valladolid goals. Columns: Levante goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.