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Sunday 4 November 2018, 16:00 Ennio Tardini Full time
0–0
HT 0–0
58% 24% 18%
Home win
58.1%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
18.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Parma 58.1% 1.72
Draw 23.6% 4.24
Frosinone 18.3% 5.45

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.5% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.5% 15.33
Over 1.5 78.1% 1.28
Under 1.5 21.9% 4.56
Over 2.5 53.8% 1.86
Under 2.5 46.2% 2.17
Over 3.5 31.5% 3.17
Under 3.5 68.5% 1.46
Over 4.5 15.7% 6.35
Under 4.5 84.3% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 52.9% 1.89
No 47.1% 2.12

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Parma / Draw 81.7% 1.22
Parma / Frosinone 76.4% 1.31
Draw / Frosinone 41.9% 2.39

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.5
5.0
2.7
0.9
0.2
0.0
1
10.4
11.2
5.1
1.6
0.4
0.1
2
10.3
9.9
4.8
1.5
0.4
0.1
3
6.4
6.2
3.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
4
3.0
2.9
1.4
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
1.1
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
Rows: Parma goals. Columns: Frosinone goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.