Saturday 27 October 2018, 16:00
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
46.7%
Draw
28.4%
Away win
24.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Parma | 24.9% | 4.02 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 10.00 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.4% | 10.69 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.6% | 2.10 | — | — |
| No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta / Draw | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Atalanta / Parma | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Draw / Parma | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
8.2
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.3
|
13.4
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.3
|
8.9
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.2
|
2.0
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.5
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Atalanta
4-0
Parma
Aug 2025
Parma
1-1
Atalanta
May 2025
Atalanta
2-3
Parma
Nov 2024
Parma
1-3
Atalanta
May 2021
Parma
2-5
Atalanta
Jan 2021
Atalanta
3-0
Parma
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.