Sunday 21 October 2018, 22:00
Allianz Riviera
Full time
38%
25%
37%
Home win
37.9%
Draw
25.3%
Away win
36.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Marseille | 36.8% | 2.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.50 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nice / Draw | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Nice / Marseille | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
6.4
|
5.4
|
2.7
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
6.5
|
11.6
|
8.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
8.5
|
6.4
|
3.3
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.4
|
3.3
|
1.7
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.7
|
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.5
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Marseille
1-1
Nice
Nov 2025
Nice
1-5
Marseille
Jan 2025
Nice
2-0
Marseille
Sep 2024
Marseille
2-0
Nice
Apr 2024
Marseille
2-2
Nice
Oct 2023
Nice
1-0
Marseille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.