Friday 5 October 2018, 21:45
Stadium de Toulouse
Full time
34%
30%
36%
Home win
33.8%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
35.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 33.8% | 2.96 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Nice | 35.9% | 2.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.6% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.4% | 8.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 33.5% | 2.98 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 39.0% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.0% | 5.27 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.8% | 12.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.2% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.3% | 2.16 | — | — |
| No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Nice | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Nice | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.4
|
11.3
|
6.9
|
2.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
10.9
|
14.1
|
7.6
|
2.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 2 |
6.4
|
7.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.4
|
2.7
|
1.5
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Toulouse
5-1
Nice
Aug 2025
Nice
0-1
Toulouse
Feb 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Nice
Aug 2024
Nice
1-1
Toulouse
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-1
Nice
Nov 2023
Nice
1-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.