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Friday 2 November 2018, 21:30 Stadio San Paolo Full time
5–1
HT 2–0
80% 14% 6%
Home win
80.4%
Draw
14.0%
Away win
5.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli 80.4% 1.24
Draw 14.0% 7.12
Empoli 5.6% 17.86

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 95.3% 1.05
Under 0.5 4.7% 21.25
Over 1.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 1.5 17.5% 5.70
Over 2.5 60.7% 1.65
Under 2.5 39.3% 2.55
Over 3.5 38.4% 2.60
Under 3.5 61.6% 1.62
Over 4.5 20.9% 4.79
Under 4.5 79.1% 1.26

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 40.1% 2.49
No 59.9% 1.67

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Napoli / Draw 94.4% 1.06
Napoli / Empoli 86.0% 1.16
Draw / Empoli 19.6% 5.09

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
4.7
2.1
0.7
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
10.8
6.7
1.8
0.3
0.0
0.0
2
14.4
8.1
2.3
0.4
0.1
0.0
3
12.4
7.0
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
8.0
4.5
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
4.1
2.3
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Napoli goals. Columns: Empoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.