Saturday 27 October 2018, 19:00
Carlo Castellani
Full time
8%
19%
73%
Home win
7.9%
Draw
19.3%
Away win
72.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli | 7.9% | 12.67 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.3% | 5.19 | — | — |
| Juventus | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.0% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.0% | 12.47 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.5% | 3.77 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.1% | 8.28 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
| No | 63.6% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Empoli / Draw | 27.1% | 3.68 | — | — |
| Empoli / Juventus | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Juventus | 92.1% | 1.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.0
|
15.0
|
15.9
|
10.9
|
5.6
|
2.3
|
| 1 |
3.5
|
8.7
|
8.4
|
5.8
|
3.0
|
1.2
|
| 2 |
1.1
|
2.2
|
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.2
|
0.4
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.0
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Juventus
4-1
Empoli
Sep 2024
Empoli
0-0
Juventus
Jan 2024
Juventus
1-1
Empoli
Sep 2023
Empoli
0-2
Juventus
May 2023
Empoli
4-1
Juventus
Oct 2022
Juventus
4-0
Empoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.