Saturday 20 October 2018, 19:00
Allianz Stadium
Full time
80%
15%
5%
Home win
79.5%
Draw
15.1%
Away win
5.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 79.5% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 15.1% | 6.64 | — | — |
| Genoa | 5.4% | 18.47 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 16.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.8% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.2% | 4.72 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 16.7% | 5.99 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.7% | 2.80 | — | — |
| No | 64.3% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus / Draw | 94.6% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Juventus / Genoa | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Draw / Genoa | 20.5% | 4.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
2.3
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.9
|
6.9
|
1.6
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.0
|
7.8
|
1.9
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
12.8
|
6.3
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.7
|
3.8
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
3.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Juventus
2-0
Genoa
Aug 2025
Genoa
0-1
Juventus
Mar 2025
Juventus
1-0
Genoa
Sep 2024
Genoa
0-3
Juventus
Mar 2024
Juventus
0-0
Genoa
Dec 2023
Genoa
1-1
Juventus
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.