Sunday 28 October 2018, 21:30
Stadio San Paolo
Full time
50%
26%
24%
Home win
49.9%
Draw
25.7%
Away win
24.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.7% | 3.88 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 24.3% | 4.11 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.9% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.1% | 14.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.2% | 4.31 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.8% | 3.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.5% | 6.88 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| No | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli / Draw | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Napoli / AS Roma | 74.3% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.1
|
6.3
|
3.8
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
9.9
|
12.3
|
6.3
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.8
|
9.6
|
5.3
|
1.9
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.9
|
5.3
|
2.9
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
2.0
|
2.2
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2026
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Nov 2025
AS Roma
0-1
Napoli
Feb 2025
AS Roma
1-1
Napoli
Nov 2024
Napoli
1-0
AS Roma
Apr 2024
Napoli
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
2-0
Napoli
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.