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Saturday 20 October 2018, 21:30 Dacia Arena Full time
0–3
HT 0–1
16% 22% 62%
Home win
16.2%
Draw
21.9%
Away win
61.9%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese 16.2% 6.17
Draw 21.9% 4.56
Napoli 61.9% 1.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 94.3% 1.06
Under 0.5 5.7% 17.56
Over 1.5 80.3% 1.25
Under 1.5 19.7% 5.07
Over 2.5 57.1% 1.75
Under 2.5 42.9% 2.33
Over 3.5 34.7% 2.88
Under 3.5 65.3% 1.53
Over 4.5 18.1% 5.54
Under 4.5 81.9% 1.22

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 53.7% 1.86
No 46.3% 2.16

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Udinese / Draw 38.1% 2.62
Udinese / Napoli 78.1% 1.28
Draw / Napoli 83.8% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
5.7
9.8
10.5
7.1
3.6
1.5
1
4.2
10.4
9.9
6.7
3.4
1.4
2
2.3
4.6
4.7
3.2
1.6
0.7
3
0.7
1.5
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.2
4
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Udinese goals. Columns: Napoli goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.