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Sunday 28 October 2018, 18:00 Old Trafford Full time
61% 23% 16%
Home win
61.1%
Draw
23.2%
Away win
15.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United 61.1% 1.64
Draw 23.2% 4.31
Everton 15.7% 6.36

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.85
Over 1.5 76.1% 1.31
Under 1.5 23.9% 4.18
Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96
Under 2.5 48.9% 2.05
Over 3.5 29.0% 3.45
Under 3.5 71.0% 1.41
Over 4.5 14.0% 7.15
Under 4.5 86.0% 1.16

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 48.9% 2.05
No 51.1% 1.96

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Manchester United / Draw 84.3% 1.19
Manchester United / Everton 76.8% 1.30
Draw / Everton 38.9% 2.57

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
4.9
2.3
0.7
0.1
0.0
1
11.7
11.1
4.4
1.2
0.3
0.0
2
11.6
9.8
4.1
1.2
0.2
0.0
3
7.2
6.1
2.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
4
3.4
2.9
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
5
1.3
1.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Manchester United goals. Columns: Everton goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.