Saturday 20 October 2018, 14:30
Stamford Bridge
Full time
47%
28%
25%
Home win
46.8%
Draw
27.9%
Away win
25.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 46.8% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.9% | 3.58 | — | — |
| Manchester United | 25.2% | 3.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.3% | 10.70 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.9% | 3.46 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.3% | 4.30 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.7% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.3% | 9.73 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
| No | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea / Draw | 74.8% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Chelsea / Manchester United | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Manchester United | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.3
|
7.8
|
4.3
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.7
|
13.2
|
6.2
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
9.1
|
4.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.4
|
4.4
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Chelsea
0-1
Manchester United
Sep 2025
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
May 2025
Chelsea
1-0
Manchester United
Nov 2024
Manchester United
1-1
Chelsea
Apr 2024
Chelsea
4-3
Manchester United
Dec 2023
Manchester United
2-1
Chelsea
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.