Saturday 3 November 2018, 19:00
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Full time
30%
28%
42%
Home win
30.2%
Draw
27.6%
Away win
42.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 30.2% | 3.31 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.6% | 3.62 | — | — |
| AS Roma | 42.2% | 2.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.22 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.0% | 3.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.1% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.2% | 8.17 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| No | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina / Draw | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Fiorentina / AS Roma | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / AS Roma | 69.8% | 1.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
9.9
|
7.6
|
3.6
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
13.2
|
8.9
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
5.1
|
7.3
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.0
|
2.8
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.8
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
AS Roma
4-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2025
Fiorentina
1-2
AS Roma
May 2025
AS Roma
1-0
Fiorentina
Oct 2024
Fiorentina
5-1
AS Roma
Mar 2024
Fiorentina
2-2
AS Roma
Dec 2023
AS Roma
1-1
Fiorentina
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.