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Saturday 27 October 2018, 21:30 Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino Full time
1–1
HT 1–1
40% 26% 34%
Home win
40.0%
Draw
26.3%
Away win
33.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino 40.0% 2.50
Draw 26.3% 3.81
Fiorentina 33.7% 2.97

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 0.5 6.4% 15.67
Over 1.5 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 54.7% 1.83
Under 2.5 45.3% 2.21
Over 3.5 32.3% 3.09
Under 3.5 67.7% 1.48
Over 4.5 16.3% 6.13
Under 4.5 83.7% 1.19

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 58.6% 1.71
No 41.4% 2.41

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Torino / Draw 66.3% 1.51
Torino / Fiorentina 73.7% 1.36
Draw / Fiorentina 60.0% 1.67

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
6.4
7.0
5.3
2.4
0.8
0.2
1
7.8
12.4
7.9
3.6
1.2
0.3
2
6.4
8.8
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.3
3
3.2
4.4
3.0
1.4
0.5
0.1
4
1.2
1.7
1.1
0.5
0.2
0.0
5
0.4
0.5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
Rows: Torino goals. Columns: Fiorentina goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.